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Slightly
Off Center

The
House
Always Wins
I’ve been
involved in the stock market for over twenty years.
During that time I had several brokers.
My philosophy toward investing has always been a work in progress,
changing and adjusting to the marketplace and understanding its cyclical nature,
as well as its gaming characteristics. As
Kenny Rogers once sang, “You
gotta know when to hold them and when to fold ‘em“.
There
are no constants in life, no sure bets, no guarantees.
The best you can possibly hope for is that you’ve been diligent in your
research and hopefully, your information is sound.
Last, but not least, in any measure, is your gut instinct. It is perhaps
better than all of the above.
This
truth applies not only to the stock market, but in business, or any venture one
takes on. The better prepared and
informed one is doesn’t equate success, but certainly increases the odds in
one’s favor. After all is said and
done, you step up to the counter, you puts your money down and hope for
the best keeping one eye on the
ticker tape, the other eye on the quarterly reports, one ear on world news, and
the other on your heartbeat. Then
it’s let the games begin. Round
and round she goes where she stops nobody knows.
The
philosophy of long term investing is one way to secure a very nice nest egg.
However, also, having owned options on stocks – and having experienced
the adrenalin rush one gets, or at times the bile aftertaste of futures trading,
I’m intimately familiar with the success and failure of being in the market.
I am neither a
psychic from
Jamaica
, nor a soothsayer from
Malaysia
, but based on the performance of the market since March 2000, my gut tells me,
7K DOW by August, 5k DOW by Thanksgiving.
Why
such petulance you may ask?
Is it the seemingly new awareness of greed and cooked numbers, faulty
corporate reports, accountants/consultants, questionable advice from advisors,
or bankers doing what bankers do?
Nay, I say, naivety is fools play: likened to the X-Files, “the
truth has always been out there”.
Corporate, social, economic and environmental responsibility ceased to
exist and found its demise in 1886 when the Supreme Court ruled corporations
were to have a “personhood”.
Basically
interpreted, this decision was to turn on its head the insight and knowledge our
forefather’s had gained as they watched capital sucked out of the colonies for
the sake and lone benefit of the monarchy in
England
. With foresight in the later part
of the 1700’s, each state that chartered corporations were of the belief that
corporations were to be tools to serve the public interest; again with
foresight, disallowing them to spend money to influence elections, legislation
or public opinion.
Well,
that august Star Chamber in 1886 changed the rules and the playing field for the
rest of us for the following 116 years. No
longer were corporations accountable; they became entities onto themselves for
generating wealth.
The
vulgarity of wealth and influence makes movies like The
Godfather pale
by comparison. Yet, it makes a
thinking individual wonder who taught whom what.
As we relearned in the 90’s, what is, is,
but more succinctly, it’s who’s doing the defining.
The
blatant arrogance of corporations today, corporations whose ads proudly state Made
In America
while moving off-shore so not to pay taxes, while closing out businesses in
America and opening sweatshops abroad, all the while touting free trade and
globalization. Free trade, if honestly defined, means in corporate double speak,
“we
will lay off as many Americans as it takes for our bottom line“.
It’s
been said, “a
corporation has no soul to save, no ass to kick”,
these non-entity entities are as responsible as Budweiser and
Corona
at spring break. State budgets in default, housing, education, health care, our
standard of living, compromised by a stock’s price. It should go without
saying, the news we hear, the legislation we receive, the choices available, the
politicians politicking, the gas to run our cars, the food we eat, etc. etc. is
brought to you by a non-person “personhood”,
probably incorporated or in the process of being incorporated off-shore.
We
are all adults – when you go to Vegas, you know going in the house wins.
It’s like a democracy, it’s only as good as the citizens demand it to
be.
©
Philip J. Rappa
2002
Home Alpha and Omega Rhapsody in Democracy Requiem for the Silliness I Learned in Civics Class Oh-Sum-Bodies-Been-Lying Help Me If You Can, I'm Feeling Bad Fear & Loathing in America Choose Heads or Tails Open Letter to the President In God We Trust The House Always Wins We The People Salted Peanuts Enough Ranting - Just For Fun
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